// set dex
Odds, EV and chase cards by set
Every Scarlet & Violet and Mega Evolution set with pull rates per rarity tier, expected value of the hit slots per pack, and what a booster box returns on average. Signal bars show how much opening data stands behind each set's rates.
How the odds work
Tier odds are “1 in N packs” for any card of a rarity, from published opening counts (Pullnomics, TCGplayer). A specific card is tier odds × the number of cards in the tier, assuming they're equally likely.
Pack EV counts only the hit slots: each tier's average card value ÷ its odds. Commons, reverse holos and bulk aren't included, so real EV is a little higher and real resale (after fees) a lot lower.
Signal bars come from a 95% Wilson interval on the sample behind each rate. Sources that don't publish sample sizes are treated as ~1,000 packs and capped at three bars.
